It's Election Day in Virginia


Today is Election Day, and Virginians will choose a new Governor. The good news is that the no-good lying son-of-a-bitch Mark Warner will no longer be our Governor. The bad news is that his gun-banning tax and spend protege, Democrat Tim Kaine is likely to take his place.

Kaine has been leading in all the polls (if you believe the polls), and Republican Jerry Kilgore has been inept in appealing to swing voters, while alienating the Conservative base. A poll last Friday put Kaine at 49% and Kilgore at 45%. One saving grace for Kilgore may be that Conservative and undecided voters are finally getting motivated. When the poll was taken last week, I was completely undecided and not likely to vote for either candidate. Today I've decided (begrudgingly) to go ahead and hold my nose and vote for Kilgore. Personally speaking, it's not so much a vote FOR Kilgore as it is a vote AGAINST Kaine.

Of course politicos from inside the beltway and political anal ysts are reading much more into the race. The New York Daily News reports that the Virginia Governor race could have 2008 Presidential implications and that Hillary Clinton will be watching closely.

The President is finally putting himself on the line for Kilgore, stopping in Virginia for an election-eve rally before returning to the White House after his Latin America trip.

A late come-from-behind rally by Kilgore will give Bush something to cheer about amid the worst slump of his presidency, many prognosticators agree.

I must have missed something. Is Bush running again in 2008? And what would we do without "many prognosticators"?
And while [Hillary] Clinton's camp has made it clear they are rooting for Kaine, his win will launch term-limited Warner onto the national political stage to join other Democrats vying for the "anti-Hillary" mantle in 2008.

"If Kaine wins, it's because of Mark Warner's popularity, and if Kilgore loses, it's because of President Bush's unpopularity," contends University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato.

Sabato has his head up his ass. First of all his "Kaine wins-Kilgore loses" scenario sounds like he's calling the race with a two headed coin. Yeah Kilgore is behind, but it is possible for him to win. If Kilgore wins, would Sabato think it's a wholesale endorsement of President Bush and his policies and that Virginians hate Mark Warner? No, more than likely it would be because Kilgore has finally given Conservatives enough motivation to show up at the polls. The reverse is likely true if Kilgore does lose. Bush may have agreed to stump for Kilgore (for a single day), but I would hardly blame Bush or the War in Iraq for a Kilgore loss. The two seem completely unrelated.

If Kaine wins I don't think it's an endorsement of Warner as much as it is an endorsement of Kaine. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think political scientists give too much weight to coat tails and not enough to the candidate themselves. Would it launch Warner to national prominence? Only time will tell. But Warner's name has been whispered as a Hillary challenger for more than a year now.

Maybe (just maybe) when Virginians pull the lever today they're actually voting for Kilgore or Kaine, and not deciding the results of the Bush/Hillary/Warner Presidential race of 2008.



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